Thursday, April 5, 2018

What Next in the Indian Equity Market ?


Nifty-F (SGX ) is now Trading at 10289 at the time of writing of this article. Why Indian Equity market is  exposed to such high volatility ? 100 Points Up or Down is not a matter now days. Lets, look at the micro-economy figures.
A per a recent report, Indian Economy is expected to grow7.4% in FY19 compare to earlier expectation of 7.1%. The rise is due to the production side, higher growth in agriculture (expectation of normal rainfall and assumption of even rainfall distribution over space and time) and industrial sectors is expected to push the overall economic growth. From the expenditure side, the boost is expected to come from both private and government expenditure coupled with green shoots emerging in investment spending.Auto sales are rocket high with 25% growth insales.
The major concern is the Banking sectors, which is loaded with huge Non-Performing assests of 14% of its total credit portfolio and delay in the CAPEX by the companies.
We are hopefull that Indian Equity market will see Ups & Down in the near future , with the changes in the Bond market.Govt has reduced its H1/2018 borrowing from bond market by 10%, which has made the Yields to slide from 7.80% to 7.3% (10Yrs Bonds ).
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