Tuesday, June 26, 2018

Varroc Engineering Ltd. : Valuations


We have tried to find out the valuation of the Varroc Engineering Ltd. using EPV method ( Earning Power Value ). At the offer price of Rs.965, it is valued 16.5X , which is quite higher compare to other OME. Kindly note that Motherson Sumi Systems Ltd is now Trading at ~3.5X of its EPV ( March 2018 earning basis ).We have taken the estimates of the Varron Engg from a reputed broking firm's note.

Sectors with Highest Operating Profit Margin Growth in Q4/ FY 2017-18

2/3 Wheelers, Leisure Facilities,Oil Equipment & Services, Department Stores & Household Appliances sectors has seen highest YoY OPM Growth.

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Sunday, June 24, 2018

Sugar Cycle & Bottom Out



Sugar Cycle is to find its Bottom soon. ~10% correction is expected. Datamined since 1961.Suger stocks may correct ~30-35% to bottom out.

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Saturday, June 23, 2018

Capacit'e Infraprojects Ltd ( CAPACITE ) - A MultiBagger, Buy/Sell/Hold, Growth Prospects and Recommendation, News and Results, Target Price and Analysis, Views and Outlook, Hot Stocks/Picks



CAPACITE closes   at ₹ 282.8   with  a  Fall     of    -2.10  %   on    22-June -2018   with formation of  a  small red     Candle    on Daily  Price Chart.   Technically,  CAPACITE  is  consolidating phase and finding its support at the lower levels.
Valuations : CAPACITE  is now Trading at 2.7X of its EPV ( March 2018 earnings ). Its 10 years avg. long term EPV comes at 2X, which translates its effective price at 209.50. It has  Net Cash / Share of 13..  Market Cap / Networth is 6.5X. Roe is 30% & RoCE is 16%
We may    BUY /    Accumulate  CAPACITE at  CMP ( ^ Better to accumulate at  209 in downtrend )
Target : ₹ 650  *Stock Price Target(PE Expansion Formula )
Stop: Loss : ₹ Accmulations Basis
Time Frame: 36 Months
Financials :    https://www.screener.in/company/CAPACITE/
Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.
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Saturday, June 16, 2018

Industry-Wise Q4 FY 2017-18 Performance


Source : Capital Market( June 18- 01 July 2018)

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Valiant Communications Ltd ( 526775 ) – A Multi Bagger, Buy/Sell/Hold, Growth Prospects and Recommendation, News and Results, Target Price and Analysis, Views and Outlook, Hot Stocks/Picks


Valiant Communications Ltd   closes   at ₹ 54.25   with  a  Gain  of     +13.0 %   on    15-June- -2018   with formation of  a  Long Green Candle    on Daily  Price Chart.  
Valuations :  Valiant Communications has received the orders/ contract to supply and commissioning of its communication solutions from the Transmission Corporation of Andhra Pradesh, Kerala State Electricity Board and Tejas Networks. The total value of the orders is ₹12.56 crore; it has to be executed in the current ļ¬nancial year.
Valiant Communications Ltd   is now Trading at 2.5 X of its EPV ( March 2018 earnings ) with a -48% deep discount to its 10yrs long term EVP . Its Price at the Long Term avg comes around 80.40
Financials :    https://www.screener.in/company/526775/
Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.
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Wednesday, June 13, 2018

Dish TV India Ltd : Valuations & Price Target


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Textile & Apparel Exports Negative News

Cotton prices are in Bull phase with closing stocks at 6-yrs low in India. As per reliable sources, Cotton will have closing balance of 16 L bales in 2017-18 compare to 30L bales in 2016-17 and price will move upto Rs.54000 per candy from present Rs.49000.There is a huge demand from millers & exporters this year as domestic demand has seen ~10% increase.We may avoid these sector in coming days.
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Tuesday, June 12, 2018

Housing Finance & Realty Sector Updates


Housing Finance & Realty Sector cos. Mainly engaged in Affordable Housing sector is Gaining  teeth slowly. Though rising interest rates will affect their PAT in coming days, but the Opportunities ahead is exponential.  Reality market has started recovery. Stocks related to these sectors are now available at a Reasonable Valuations. We are expecting an up-move in short term.
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Monday, June 11, 2018

Sanghi Industries Ltd ( SANGHIIND ) – Managements View & Valuations


Managements View : *Cement prices steady in April & May 2018 vs Q4FY18
*Expect a regular cement price cut of 3%/5% during monsoon
 *FY19 tgt vols=3.2mt & EBITDA exp at apprx 900/tn
 *Blended costs of borrowing down to 10.75% vs 15.5% earlier
 *Capacity wil double by March 2020
( Source : CNBCTV18 )
Valuations :  Sanghi Industries Ltd is now Trading at  2.3X of its EPV ( March 2018 earnings ). Its 10 years avg. long term EPV comes at 3.3X, which translates its effective price at 123.50. It has  Net Cash / Share of 0.70.  Market Cap / Networth is 1.9X.
Financials :    https://www.screener.in/company/SANGHIIND/
Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.
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Sunday, June 10, 2018

Kaya Ltd ( KAYA ) – Valuations



KAYA closes   at ₹ 972.95   with  a  Gain  of     +9.2%   on    08-June- -2018   with formation of  a  Long Green Candle    on Daily  Price Chart.  
Valuations :  Sales has declined to 97.38Cr by -2.94% in Q4 FY 2017-18 & Losses has inched higher to -7.84 Cr. By-102%.
Kaya Ltd  is now Trading at -8.4X of its EPV ( March 2018 earnings ). Its 10 years avg. long term EPV comes at 4.6x, which translates its effective price at 3709. It has  Net Cash / Share of 66.90.  Market Cap / Networth is 5.1X. Raw Material Consumed has increased by+38% to 9.99 Cr & Stock has Adjustments of  -0.15 Cr ( In previous Quarter YoY it was 5.11Cr ). R&D Expenses is Zero in the last FY 2017-18 while Employee Expenses is 35.77 Cr declined by -3% QoQ.
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Wednesday, June 6, 2018

Biocon Ltd ( BIOCON ) – Valuations


BIOCON closes   at ₹ 608.2   with  a  Gain  of     +0.1%   on    06-June- -2018   with formation of  a  small Green Candle    on Daily  Price Chart.  
Valuations :  BIOCON’s Biopharma is  key driver for growth which is expected to grow at a rate of 36% CGAR from 2018-2020 & EPS from 5.3 to 36.4 . It is now Trading at 11.9X of its EPV ( March 2018 earnings ) Its 10 years avg. long term EPV comes at 7.3, which translates its effective price at 373.00. It has  Net Cash / Share of Rs.114.90
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Monday, June 4, 2018

Jocil Ltd : Q4 FY2017-18 Results Update & Valuations


Jocil Ltd has turned-around in Q4 FY2017-18. It has reduced Other Expenses by -20% and Raw Material Consumed by -47%, which lead to Increase the Profitability in subdued sales (-31%) QoQ.
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Friday, June 1, 2018

Sugar Sector Update

Cultivation of Sugercane has incresed to 4.87 million hectarers than 4.79 million hectarers in 2017. Farmers are having Rs. 200 Billion delayed payments from the mills for the current harvest.Next marketing year will start  with carry forward stocks of 11 million tonnes .Govt's support to export Sugar to Internation market is being questioned by Brazil & Australia in for violation of WTO restrictions.All these will have negative Impact on the Sugar Stocks.
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