Thursday, September 27, 2018

Which Sectors to Perform Well in Q2 FY 2018-19 ?

As per our latest market equation, we are now bullish on the following sectors:
2.airline services
5.steel and aluminum
6.coal miners
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Tuesday, September 18, 2018

Expected swap Ratio of Dena Bank, BOB & Vijaya Bank

We are expecting the swap ratio  of 21 : 1 for Dena : BOB and 1.75 : 1 for Vijaya : BOB

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Sunday, September 16, 2018

Axtel Industries Ltd ( 523850 ) - A MultiBagger, Buy/Sell/Hold, Growth Prospects and Recommendation, News and Results, Target Price and Analysis, Views and Outlook, Hot Stocks/Picks

BUSINESS SUMMARY : Axtel Industries Limited is engaged in manufacturing of food processing plants and machineries. The Company supplies process engineering equipment and turnkey systems to the food and pharmaceutical industries. It offers process equipment under various categories, including solids handling, storage and discharge, sieving and straining/cleaning and grading, size reduction, mixing and blending, and specialized process equipment. Its solids handling products include sack tip stations, bulk loaders, belt conveyors, screw feeder and conveyors, screw feeder with integral valves, dual tunnel diverter valves, z-bucket elevators, cyclones, reverse jet filters, and horizontal reverse jet bin filters. Its storage and discharge products include process tanks, outdoor storage silos, intermediate bulk containers, table feeders, knife gate valves, butterfly valves and big bag handling systems. Its size reduction products include hammer mills, nibblers, cone mills, shredders and roller mills

FUNDAMENTAL : The Cos.  Has shown strong Financials numbers with Operating Profit Margin (OPM%) at 12% and Net Profit Margin (NPM%) of 5%. Self-Sustainable Growth Rate (SSGR) is also positive at 5%. RoIC is 19.1%; Roe is 15% ; Net Cash / Share is Rs. 11.50.

Axtel Industries Ltd is now available at 2x of its EVP. We are expecting a huge upside from these levels, after almost 3 months congestions.
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Friday, September 14, 2018

Stocks on which we are Bullish ?

We are Bullish on the below listed Stocks.

Saturday, September 8, 2018

Import Update ( Negative ) on Shrimp Sctor !!!

Export of Indian shrimps to the USA will be slowed down to 7% in 2018 compare to 39% in 2017 due to Tightening of inspection rules in USA and spreading of Diseases.

Friday, September 7, 2018

A Infrastructure Ltd : A Turnaround Story

A Infrastructure Limited ( BSE Code-539620 ) is engaged in providing asbestos cement (A.C.) pressure pipes, A.C. corrugated sheets and allied products. The Company is also engaged in the business of manufacturing of couplings, A.C. sheet and molded goods, and laying and jointing of A.C. Products. It operates A.C. pressure pipes and roofing sheets under the brand name of JAI KIRTI. Its A.C. pressure pipes are used for portable water supply, casing pipes in bore well, sewage, irrigation and optical cables, and roofing sheet products are used as a roofing material for housing, warehousing and industrial purpose. It offers various types of A.C. pipes, including normal, sulfate resistant cement and bitumen coated. The pipes are manufactured with the technology of MAZZA Process. The Company has a capacity of manufacturing approximately 60,000 metric ton (MT) per annum of A.C. pressure pipes in the country. The Company's manufacturing units are located at Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Aurangabad and Ahmedabad.

The Cos has posted Revenue Growth 24.0%;Gross Margin 43.9%;Net Margin 1.5% QoQ ending June 2018 with net profit Rs. 5.08 Cr ( coming out of red).
With boom in infrastructure and thrust on economic hosing sector and smart city, we are Bullish on its future prospect.
Since, its a TurnAround Story, Ariving aValuations based on EPV is not accurate. Though it is now trading at ~67% premium to its 10yrs long term Avg of EPV with Cash/Share of Rs.4.8.
We have considered the financial data of the cos from

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Premium /Discounted  to Intrinsic Value ( Earning Power Value Method )
CMP  ₹ 19.85 Prem/ Disc RoIC 7.6
3X  EPV ₹ 18.40 7.88% Cost of Capital 12.5
2X  EPV ₹ 12.27 61.81% Growth Rate -2%
1.5X  EPV ₹ 9.20 115.75% RoE 4%
1.0 X  EPV ₹ 6.13 223.63% RoCE 8%
CMP/ EPV 3.2 Net Cash / Share   ₹ 21.9
Intrinsic Value Based on Earning Expectaion
   FY 19E FY 20E FY 21E FY 22E FY 23E
EPV (E) ₹ 8.24 ₹ 8.07 ₹ 7.90 ₹ 7.74 ₹ 7.58
CMP/ EPV(E) 2.41 2.46 2.51 2.57 2.62
Market Cap / Sales   0.33
Market Cap / Networth 0.8
CMP / EPV (10Y Avg.) 0.1 Price at 10Y EPV Avg, ₹ 0.57
Discount ( Premium ) in EV/EBITDA to 10 Yrs Avg     -22%
Discount / Premium in EPV to Past 3409%
Best Price at X1 EPV to Past Reference ₹ 13.1
Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method )   ₹ 18.1 ©

Tuesday, September 4, 2018

I G Petrochemicals Ltd : Important Financial Ratio & Valuations

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Sunday, September 2, 2018

Sanjay Bakshi's Valuequest India Moat Fund Limited portfolio as on June 30, 2018

Ambika Cotton Mills Ltd.
Accelya Kale Solutions Ltd.
Kitex Garments Ltd.
TVS Srichakra Ltd.
Wonderla Holidays Ltd.
CCL Products India Ltd.
Wim Plast Ltd.
Narayana Hrudayalaya Ltd.

Top Stocks to Consider for Buying

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Saturday, September 1, 2018

Why Bullish on CRISIL ?

CRISIL Limited is an India-based analytical company. The Company is a provider of ratings, data and research, analytics and solutions. It operates
through three segments: Ratings, Research and Advisory. The Ratings segment offers rating services, which include credit ratings for corporates,
banks, bank loans, small and medium enterprises (SME), grading services and global analytical services. The Research segment includes global
research and analytical services, industry reports, customized research assignments, subscription to data services, independent equity research, initial
public offer (IPO) gradings and training. The Advisory segment consists of infrastructure advisory, sale of software and annual maintenance contracts. It
conducts infrastructure advisory and risk solutions business through its subsidiary, CRISIL Risk and Infrastructure Solutions Limited. It provides
advisory services in urban development and infrastructure financing in India and other emerging countries.

Now why One should be bullish on it ?
Since Indian Industry is going for CAPEX in recent times, sector mainly Steel, cement has already on the line and they will need CREDIT from Banks, FIIs or by Bonds & Debentures. It opens the new earning avenue for CRISIL.
If we goes in 2013-15, when the same story was played ie. Industry was on capex roll, the Rating Agency stocks has given multiplier Returns.
Accumlations at lower levels will be 2/3x in values.

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The recommendations made herein do not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any of the securities mentioned. No representations can be made that the recommendations contained herein will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. Readers using the information contained herein are solely responsible for their actions. Information is obtained from sources deemed to be reliable but is not guaranteed as to accuracy and completeness. The above recommendations are based on the theory of Technical Analysis and do not reflect the fundamental validity of the Scrip. does 't take any Responsibility for any losses arising from using the Stocks Recommendations.
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