Saturday, September 8, 2018

Import Update ( Negative ) on Shrimp Sctor !!!

Export of Indian shrimps to the USA will be slowed down to 7% in 2018 compare to 39% in 2017 due to Tightening of inspection rules in USA and spreading of Diseases.

Friday, September 7, 2018

A Infrastructure Ltd : A Turnaround Story

A Infrastructure Limited ( BSE Code-539620 ) is engaged in providing asbestos cement (A.C.) pressure pipes, A.C. corrugated sheets and allied products. The Company is also engaged in the business of manufacturing of couplings, A.C. sheet and molded goods, and laying and jointing of A.C. Products. It operates A.C. pressure pipes and roofing sheets under the brand name of JAI KIRTI. Its A.C. pressure pipes are used for portable water supply, casing pipes in bore well, sewage, irrigation and optical cables, and roofing sheet products are used as a roofing material for housing, warehousing and industrial purpose. It offers various types of A.C. pipes, including normal, sulfate resistant cement and bitumen coated. The pipes are manufactured with the technology of MAZZA Process. The Company has a capacity of manufacturing approximately 60,000 metric ton (MT) per annum of A.C. pressure pipes in the country. The Company's manufacturing units are located at Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Aurangabad and Ahmedabad.

The Cos has posted Revenue Growth 24.0%;Gross Margin 43.9%;Net Margin 1.5% QoQ ending June 2018 with net profit Rs. 5.08 Cr ( coming out of red).
With boom in infrastructure and thrust on economic hosing sector and smart city, we are Bullish on its future prospect.
Since, its a TurnAround Story, Ariving aValuations based on EPV is not accurate. Though it is now trading at ~67% premium to its 10yrs long term Avg of EPV with Cash/Share of Rs.4.8.
We have considered the financial data of the cos from www.screener.in

Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.
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TRANSFORMERS & RECTIFIERS INDIA LTD: Reasonably Valued


Premium /Discounted  to Intrinsic Value ( Earning Power Value Method )
CMP  ₹ 19.85 Prem/ Disc RoIC 7.6
3X  EPV ₹ 18.40 7.88% Cost of Capital 12.5
2X  EPV ₹ 12.27 61.81% Growth Rate -2%
1.5X  EPV ₹ 9.20 115.75% RoE 4%
1.0 X  EPV ₹ 6.13 223.63% RoCE 8%
CMP/ EPV 3.2 Net Cash / Share   ₹ 21.9
Intrinsic Value Based on Earning Expectaion
   FY 19E FY 20E FY 21E FY 22E FY 23E
EPV (E) ₹ 8.24 ₹ 8.07 ₹ 7.90 ₹ 7.74 ₹ 7.58
CMP/ EPV(E) 2.41 2.46 2.51 2.57 2.62
Market Cap / Sales   0.33
Market Cap / Networth 0.8
CMP / EPV (10Y Avg.) 0.1 Price at 10Y EPV Avg, ₹ 0.57
Discount ( Premium ) in EV/EBITDA to 10 Yrs Avg     -22%
Discount / Premium in EPV to Past 3409%
Best Price at X1 EPV to Past Reference ₹ 13.1
Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method )   ₹ 18.1
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