Saturday, September 18, 2021

Phoenix Mills Ltd ( 532782 ) – Doubling Portfolio

Phoenix Mills Ltd ( 532782 ) closes   at 850.30 with  a  Fall of   -1.70%   on    on    17-September-2021  with formation of  a  Red Candle    on Daily  Price Chart.

About the Company :  The Phoenix Mills Limited is an India-based company engaged in the construction of buildings carried out on own-account basis or on a fee or contract basis. The Company is engaged in the development and operation of malls and other real estate properties. It operates through twos segments: Property & Related Services, and Hospitality Services. It specializes in the ownership, management and development of retail-led mixed use properties that include shopping, entertainment, commercial, residential and hospitality assets, aggregating approximately 17.5 million square feet over 100 acres. Its core business includes Retail, Hospitality, Commercial and Residential. Under the Retail segment, it operates seven malls in six cities. Under Commercial and Hospitality segments, it operates five commercial centers in two cities and two completed hotel projects. The upscale mall houses various international brands, such as Gucci, Jimmy Choo, Bottega Veneta and Ermenegildo Zegna, among others.

Sector Update :  Positive

Financials : Phoenix Mills Ltd has posted Net Sales / Revenue   of 1073.30 Cr & Net Profit 52.60 Cr in FY2021 and expected to post Net Sales / Revenue   of 1505.80 Cr & Net Profit of 175.30 Cr in FY2022 & Net Sales / Revenue   of 2202.20 Cr & Net Profit of 466.20  Cr in FY2023 and  Net Sales / Revenue   of 2734.00 Cr & Net Profit of 631.10  Cr in FY2024  .

EPS will improved from 3.19 in FY2021 to 38.60 by FY2024; Debt from 3139.80 Cr to 3393.10 Cr . Free Cash Flow will Turn positive from - 307.60 Cr to 295.50 Cr; ROA  will increase from 0.48% to 2.59 (FY23) and Book Value Per Share will increase from 284 to 366 %during the same period.

Valuations  : The Company is now Trading at X9.50 of its  valuations of  FY2021 earnings with ~850% Premium and X5.15 of its FY2022 earnings with ~415% Premium and  X1.94 of its FY2023 earnings with ~94%  Premium  and X1.43 of its FY2024 earnings with ~43%  Premium .

Margin of Safety (1Yr Bond Yield: Value>1 ) is now  0.2 which  makes it attractive after ~80% dip in price . The  Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method ) is  821.00

Early Trend: Phoenix Mills is looking to double its portfolio of retail properties by FY26 & it wants to add one million square feet each year post FY26.

If We factor its FY2024 earnings/valuations, its Price arrives at 1785.00 with a conservative view of X3 pricing.

Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.

Join Us at   Telegram #   https://t.me/TheNiftyNext

Data Source NSE Website | Screener.In  | Capital Line Money Control |Refinitiv |

The author tracks economic, behavioural and corporate tends, hoping to gauge good avenues of return based on Fundamental Valuations of Stocks, a follower of EPV method. You can reach me/us at | Twitter # NiftyNext1 |  e-Mail : Mail@NiftyNext.Com  |  Tel +91 8802230836  |  Telegram # TheNiftyNext   |

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Thursday, September 16, 2021

GPT Infraprojects Ltd (533761) – A premier Infrastructure Play

GPT Infraprojects Ltd (533761)   closes   at 90.75  with  a  Gain  of   +2.30%   on    on    -September-2021  with formation of  a  Green  Candle    on Daily  Price Chart.

About the Company : GPT Infraprojects Limited, the flagship company of the GPT Group is a premier Infrastructure company based out of Kolkata, India engaged in the execution of civil and infrastructure projects and manufacture of concrete sleeper for Railways. The entity has strong project execution capabilities, a healthy financial base, and enviable growth prospects across all areas of operation.

Sector Update :  Positive

Refinitiv  Average Score : 6 / 10

Financials : GPT Infraprojects Ltd has posted Net Sales / Revenue   of 609.00 Cr & Net Profit of   20.00 Cr in FY2021 and expected to post Net Sales / Revenue   of 648.00 Cr & Net Profit of 23.00  Cr in FY2022 .

The Company is constantly growing at 5.6% in FY2021 ( 4.90% in FY2020) along with Enterprise Value.

Valuations  : The Company is now Trading at X 0.90  of its  valuations of  FY2021 earnings with ~10% Discount  and  at X0.71 of its FY2022 earnings with ~29%  Discount.

Early Trend : Indian govt. is taking pro-active steps in the area of Infrastructure.

Margin of Safety (1Yr Bond Yield: Value>1 ) is now  1.80   which  makes is attractive after ~80% dip in price. The  Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method ) is  83.40

If We factor its FY2022 earnings/valuations, its Price arrives at 128.00

Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.

Join Us at   Telegram #   https://t.me/TheNiftyNext

Data Source NSE Website | Screener.In  | Capital Line Money Control |Refinitiv |

The author tracks economic, behavioural and corporate tends, hoping to gauge good avenues of return based on Fundamental Valuations of Stocks, a follower of EPV method. You can reach me/us at | Twitter # NiftyNext1 |  e-Mail : Mail@NiftyNext.Com  |  Tel +91 8802230836  |  Telegram # TheNiftyNext  Manage your investments the right way With MProfit. Visit https://www.mprofit.inUse Our Referral Link to Get 20% DISCOUNT @ https://www.mprofit.in/buy?referral=R1GD99J496AB1345D


Tuesday, September 14, 2021

Tinplate Company of India Ltd ( 504966 ) – Betting big on tinplate

Tinplate Company of India Ltd ( 504966 ) closes   at 282.90 with  a  Gail   of   +1.10 %   on    on    14-September-2021  with formation of  a  Small Red Candle    on Daily  Price Chart.

About the Company :  The Tinplate Company of India Limited (TCIL) is an India-based producer of tin coated and tin free sheets. The Company manufactures various grades of electrolytic tinplates, tin-free steel sheets and full hard cold rolled sheets (FHCR) used for metal packaging. The Company's product range includes Electrolytic Tinplate (ETP) line and Cold Rolling Mill (CRM) products. The Electrolytic Tinplate line products include single reduced tinplates, Open Top Sanitary Cans (OTSC), tin free steel and double reduced tinplate sheets. The CRM products include hot rolled pickled coils, full hard coils and temper rolled/double reduced (Dr) coils. The Company's works is located at Jamshedpur, Jharkhand and has over 11 offices in India and a distribution network with approximately 20 stocking points.

Sector Update :  Positive

Refinitiv  Average Score : 9

Financials : Tinplate Company of India Ltd has posted Net Sales / Revenue   of 2281.00Cr & Net Profit 98.00 Cr in FY2021 and expected to post Net Sales / Revenue   of 2768.00 Cr & Net Profit of 174.00 Cr in FY2022 .

Cash Conversion Cycle has improved to 19Days in FY2021 from 44days in FY2020, which resulted in Net Cash Flow turning Positive of ₹73.00 Cr. ROCE is 17% and EPS will improve from 9.38 in FY2021 to 16.61 in FY2022.

Valuations  : The Company is now Trading at X1.70 of its  valuations of  FY2021 earnings with ~70% Premium and X1.04  of its FY2022 earnings with ~0.04% Premium.

Margin of Safety (1Yr Bond Yield: Value>1 ) is now  0.90  which  makes is attractive after ~10% dip in price. The  Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method ) is  262

Early Trend: 1. Steel producers are ramping up capacity in tinplate with an increase in out-of-home consumption and implementation of quality control measures.

2. The industry has been growing at a CAGR of 5-6 per cent. But with institutionalizing of retail, growth could be much higher in future.

3. Effective July 17, 2021, the government has enforced Steel & Steel Products’ (Quality Control) Order, mandating usage of prime grades of BIS certified tinplate.

4. Domestic prices are currently lower than international prices. Even though it may not make commercial sense to import right now.

If We factor its FY2022 earnings/valuations, its Price arrives at 457.00

Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.

Join Us at   Telegram #   https://t.me/TheNiftyNext

Data Source NSE Website | Screener.In  | Capital Line Money Control |Refinitiv |

The author tracks economic, behavioural and corporate tends, hoping to gauge good avenues of return based on Fundamental Valuations of Stocks, a follower of EPV method. You can reach me/us at | Twitter # NiftyNext1 |  e-Mail : Mail@NiftyNext.Com  |  Tel +91 8802230836  |  Telegram # TheNiftyNext   |


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