Friday, December 28, 2018

Sinclairs Hotels Ltd


Sinclairs Hotels Ltd ( 523023 ) Subdued  NUMBERS in Q2 & H1 FY 2019. Q2 sales grew -54.41% & PAT grew -91.03%. YoY sales grew -12.83% & PAT grew -64.58%.Net Profit will grow by ~15% to present Net Profit . It is now Trading at DISCOUNT of ~ 23% of its FY20-21E earnings with EPV ( Earning Power Value ).

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Data Source : https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/sinclairs-hotels-attractive-pick-in-leisure-space-3328331.html

Wednesday, December 26, 2018

Rallis India Ltd


Rallis India Ltd strong NUMBERS in Q2 & H1 FY-2019. Q2 sales grew +14.08% & PAT grew +55.70%. YoY sales grew +11.22% & PAT grew +10.12%.Net Profit will grow by ~14% to present Net Profit . It is now Trading at PREMIUM of ~ 13% of its FY20-21E earnings with EPV ( Earning Power Value ) of x1.13, which will stretch upto x2.5 in 12-24 Months.

You can reach the author at +91 880 2230 836 or e-Mail : mail@niftynext.com

Friday, December 21, 2018

Saturday, November 24, 2018

This Stock is getting max. review on Internet : Affordable Robotic & Automation Ltd


About the cos: The Company programs and automates the functions of machines used in manufacturing process of the automobile industry.
The Company is also in the business of assembling and installing driver-friendly automatic multilevel car parking system. (their system elevates cars upto 30 levels/floors !!)
This system is preferred by high-rise residential complexes, shopping malls, and commercial buildings. It has a presence in Mumbai and Pune in automated car-parking business.
Further, in FY 2017-18, the Company has set-up a new line of business, Secondary Packaging, which is aimed at FMCG industries by way of providing automation service in container packaging of the final packed product
We have   Affordable Robotic & Automation Ltd ( BSE Code 541402 )  based on March 2018 earnings. It is now Trading at 1.4x of its Earnings.
Source : http://forum.valuepickr.com/t/affordable-robotic-automation-ltd-niche-business/20946

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Sunday, November 18, 2018

List of Stocks (NSE) with Operating Profit Margin 12%

We have scanned the Stocks with Operating Profit Margin of more than 12%. The exclusive list is available for Download along with NSE symbol on Invitation  only.
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Monday, November 12, 2018

S Chand & Company Ltd

S Chand & Company Ltd is now Trading at huge discount of ~160% on the basis of last 4Quater earnings (Sep 18 included ). We are expecting that Cos. will post Net Profit of Rs. 124.5Cr in 2019(E) & Rs, 145.3Cr in 2020(E).
If we factor the future earnings, S Chand & Company Ltd is available at ~62 % discounted price of FY 2020.
Investment with a horizon of 2-3 years will fetch x2 returns.

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Sunday, November 11, 2018

Cracks in Automobile Sector

During Data-mining on Indian Economy, we have fond an interesting fact : The output of bodies/ chassis of buses and minibuses declined 38.3% and bodies of trucks, lorries and trailers 42.4% in August 2018.
The above words suggests that Auto sector is going to face downturn in coming days support Dow Theory, wherein Auto sector is the 1st to factor the negative or positive of a Bull or bear market.



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Monday, November 5, 2018

Uniply Industries Ltd & its Valuations

Uniply Industries Ltd is now Trading at 2.9x  of its EPV.As per Our Estimates( Collected from reliable sources ), its PAT for FY 2019 & FY2020 is expected to be Rs 39.8 Cr & Rs. 92.4Cr.Its shows ~14% Discount to its FY2020

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Monday, October 29, 2018

Short Term Picks


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Sunday, October 28, 2018

Breweries & Distilleries Sector Updates


We have seen positive activity in the B&D sector in the last trading session ( 26th Oct 2018) along with the news of rise in sales liquor in China on Festival Demand. We have analysed the leading B&D sector stocks and arrived at the Valuations, based on Earning Power Value (As per latest Quarterly Financial Data available with www.screener.in )

1.       Som Distilleries & Breweries Ltd > 2.9x

2.        Associated Alcohols & Breweries Ltd > 2.1x

3.        G M Breweries Ltd > 1.1x

4.        Som Distilleries & Breweries Ltd > 2.9x


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Wednesday, October 24, 2018

Tuesday, October 23, 2018

Malabar India Fund Limited shareholdings and portfolio ( Sep 2018 )


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Tuesday, October 9, 2018

Tinplate Company of India Ltd ( TINPLATE ) - A MultiBagger, Buy/Sell/Hold, Growth Prospects and Recommendation, News and Results, Target Price and Analysis, Views and Outlook, Hot Stocks/Picks



BUSINESS SUMMARY :The Tinplate Company of India Limited (TCIL) is an India-based producer of tin coated and tin free sheets. The Company manufactures various grades of electrolytic tinplates, tin-free steel sheets and full hard cold rolled sheets (FHCR) used for metal packaging. The Company's product range includes Electrolytic Tinplate (ETP) line and Cold Rolling Mill (CRM) products. The Electrolytic Tinplate line products include single reduced tinplates, Open Top Sanitary Cans (OTSC), tin free steel and double reduced tinplate sheets. The CRM products include hot rolled pickled coils, full hard coils and temper rolled/double reduced (Dr) coils. The Company's works is located at Jamshedpur, Jharkhand and has over 11 offices in India and a distribution network with approximately 20 stocking points.
Sector Update: Production of Tin ( Non-Ferrous metal ) is in increasing Trend after a slump in the industry. We are expecting huge consumption of Tin material in packing for Oil, Wines and other items.
Valuations: Tinplate Company of India Ltd is now Trading at 2.1x of its EPV. Cos. Is growing at rate of ~17% with ROCE 12% & ROE 11%. Its Best Price at X1 EPV to Past Reference  arrives at ₹128.10
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Thursday, September 27, 2018

Which Sectors to Perform Well in Q2 FY 2018-19 ?

As per our latest market equation, we are now bullish on the following sectors:
1.automobiles
2.airline services
3.Retail
4.FMCG
5.steel and aluminum
6.coal miners
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Tuesday, September 18, 2018

Expected swap Ratio of Dena Bank, BOB & Vijaya Bank

We are expecting the swap ratio  of 21 : 1 for Dena : BOB and 1.75 : 1 for Vijaya : BOB


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Sunday, September 16, 2018

Axtel Industries Ltd ( 523850 ) - A MultiBagger, Buy/Sell/Hold, Growth Prospects and Recommendation, News and Results, Target Price and Analysis, Views and Outlook, Hot Stocks/Picks


BUSINESS SUMMARY : Axtel Industries Limited is engaged in manufacturing of food processing plants and machineries. The Company supplies process engineering equipment and turnkey systems to the food and pharmaceutical industries. It offers process equipment under various categories, including solids handling, storage and discharge, sieving and straining/cleaning and grading, size reduction, mixing and blending, and specialized process equipment. Its solids handling products include sack tip stations, bulk loaders, belt conveyors, screw feeder and conveyors, screw feeder with integral valves, dual tunnel diverter valves, z-bucket elevators, cyclones, reverse jet filters, and horizontal reverse jet bin filters. Its storage and discharge products include process tanks, outdoor storage silos, intermediate bulk containers, table feeders, knife gate valves, butterfly valves and big bag handling systems. Its size reduction products include hammer mills, nibblers, cone mills, shredders and roller mills

FUNDAMENTAL : The Cos.  Has shown strong Financials numbers with Operating Profit Margin (OPM%) at 12% and Net Profit Margin (NPM%) of 5%. Self-Sustainable Growth Rate (SSGR) is also positive at 5%. RoIC is 19.1%; Roe is 15% ; Net Cash / Share is Rs. 11.50.

Axtel Industries Ltd is now available at 2x of its EVP. We are expecting a huge upside from these levels, after almost 3 months congestions.
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Friday, September 14, 2018

Stocks on which we are Bullish ?

We are Bullish on the below listed Stocks.
JINDALPOLY
INDORAMA
ARVEE
DTIL
TIRUMALCHM
JBFIND

Saturday, September 8, 2018

Import Update ( Negative ) on Shrimp Sctor !!!

Export of Indian shrimps to the USA will be slowed down to 7% in 2018 compare to 39% in 2017 due to Tightening of inspection rules in USA and spreading of Diseases.

Friday, September 7, 2018

A Infrastructure Ltd : A Turnaround Story

A Infrastructure Limited ( BSE Code-539620 ) is engaged in providing asbestos cement (A.C.) pressure pipes, A.C. corrugated sheets and allied products. The Company is also engaged in the business of manufacturing of couplings, A.C. sheet and molded goods, and laying and jointing of A.C. Products. It operates A.C. pressure pipes and roofing sheets under the brand name of JAI KIRTI. Its A.C. pressure pipes are used for portable water supply, casing pipes in bore well, sewage, irrigation and optical cables, and roofing sheet products are used as a roofing material for housing, warehousing and industrial purpose. It offers various types of A.C. pipes, including normal, sulfate resistant cement and bitumen coated. The pipes are manufactured with the technology of MAZZA Process. The Company has a capacity of manufacturing approximately 60,000 metric ton (MT) per annum of A.C. pressure pipes in the country. The Company's manufacturing units are located at Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Aurangabad and Ahmedabad.

The Cos has posted Revenue Growth 24.0%;Gross Margin 43.9%;Net Margin 1.5% QoQ ending June 2018 with net profit Rs. 5.08 Cr ( coming out of red).
With boom in infrastructure and thrust on economic hosing sector and smart city, we are Bullish on its future prospect.
Since, its a TurnAround Story, Ariving aValuations based on EPV is not accurate. Though it is now trading at ~67% premium to its 10yrs long term Avg of EPV with Cash/Share of Rs.4.8.
We have considered the financial data of the cos from www.screener.in

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TRANSFORMERS & RECTIFIERS INDIA LTD: Reasonably Valued


Premium /Discounted  to Intrinsic Value ( Earning Power Value Method )
CMP  ₹ 19.85 Prem/ Disc RoIC 7.6
3X  EPV ₹ 18.40 7.88% Cost of Capital 12.5
2X  EPV ₹ 12.27 61.81% Growth Rate -2%
1.5X  EPV ₹ 9.20 115.75% RoE 4%
1.0 X  EPV ₹ 6.13 223.63% RoCE 8%
CMP/ EPV 3.2 Net Cash / Share   ₹ 21.9
Intrinsic Value Based on Earning Expectaion
   FY 19E FY 20E FY 21E FY 22E FY 23E
EPV (E) ₹ 8.24 ₹ 8.07 ₹ 7.90 ₹ 7.74 ₹ 7.58
CMP/ EPV(E) 2.41 2.46 2.51 2.57 2.62
Market Cap / Sales   0.33
Market Cap / Networth 0.8
CMP / EPV (10Y Avg.) 0.1 Price at 10Y EPV Avg, ₹ 0.57
Discount ( Premium ) in EV/EBITDA to 10 Yrs Avg     -22%
Discount / Premium in EPV to Past 3409%
Best Price at X1 EPV to Past Reference ₹ 13.1
Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method )   ₹ 18.1
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Tuesday, September 4, 2018

I G Petrochemicals Ltd : Important Financial Ratio & Valuations


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Sunday, September 2, 2018

Sanjay Bakshi's Valuequest India Moat Fund Limited portfolio as on June 30, 2018

Ambika Cotton Mills Ltd.
Accelya Kale Solutions Ltd.
Kitex Garments Ltd.
TVS Srichakra Ltd.
Wonderla Holidays Ltd.
CCL Products India Ltd.
Wim Plast Ltd.
Narayana Hrudayalaya Ltd.

Top Stocks to Consider for Buying



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Saturday, September 1, 2018

Why Bullish on CRISIL ?


CRISIL Limited is an India-based analytical company. The Company is a provider of ratings, data and research, analytics and solutions. It operates
through three segments: Ratings, Research and Advisory. The Ratings segment offers rating services, which include credit ratings for corporates,
banks, bank loans, small and medium enterprises (SME), grading services and global analytical services. The Research segment includes global
research and analytical services, industry reports, customized research assignments, subscription to data services, independent equity research, initial
public offer (IPO) gradings and training. The Advisory segment consists of infrastructure advisory, sale of software and annual maintenance contracts. It
conducts infrastructure advisory and risk solutions business through its subsidiary, CRISIL Risk and Infrastructure Solutions Limited. It provides
advisory services in urban development and infrastructure financing in India and other emerging countries.

Now why One should be bullish on it ?
Since Indian Industry is going for CAPEX in recent times, sector mainly Steel, cement has already on the line and they will need CREDIT from Banks, FIIs or by Bonds & Debentures. It opens the new earning avenue for CRISIL.
If we goes in 2013-15, when the same story was played ie. Industry was on capex roll, the Rating Agency stocks has given multiplier Returns.
Accumlations at lower levels will be 2/3x in values.

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Friday, August 31, 2018

Short Term Picks

We have pciked 4 stocks which are expected to perform well in short period
1.Orient Bell Ltd
2.Meghmani Organics Ltd
3.Lotus Eye Hospital & Institute Ltd
4.Wonderla Holidays Ltd

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Wednesday, August 29, 2018

Camlin Fine Sciences Ltd : Q1FY19  Resuts & Conference call Update

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Saturday, August 25, 2018

Elecon Engineering Company Ltd & Recent Updates


BUSINESS SUMMARY : Elecon Engineering Company Limited is engaged in the manufacture of material handling equipment, industrial geared motors and reducers, mining equipment and casting processes. The Company's segments include Material Handling Equipment, Transmission Equipment and Others. It is also engaged in designing and manufacturing worm gears; parallel shaft and right angle shaft; helical and spiral level helical gears; fluid geared and flexible couplings, as well as planetary gear boxes. Its products include ET Series, EON Series, ETS Series, EOS Series, ET Series Demo, Cooling Tower Gear Boxes and Dual Tandem Gear Boxes. Its power transmission includes wind mill gear, elevator traction machines, marine gear, loose gear and special gear. Its alternate energy includes wind turbines. Its Foundry Division includes material handling, mining and earth moving, power transmission,crusher and cement. The Company offers its equipment for sectors, such as fertilizer, cement, coal and mining.

FUNDAMENTAL : The company's gross margin has been lower than its industry group
average for each of the past five years. Debt-to-capital has been higher than its industry group average for each of the past five years and  days sales in inventory has been higher than its
industry group average for each of the past five years. ELECON's Price to Sales ratio and Trailing P/E are both significantly above (more expensive than) their 5-year averages & current Price to Sales ratio of 0.6 represents a 71% Discount to its Machinery & Heavy Vehicles industry group average. It is now Trading at 1.3x of its EPV ( June 2018 earnings ).


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Friday, August 24, 2018

Option Traders Hub : https://trade.sensibull.com

If you are an Options Trader, You can use this site https://trade.sensibull.com Presently it has tie-up with ZERODHA.

Monday, August 20, 2018

Why Vadilal Industries stock tanks 20% & Its Intrinsic Value ???

In today's ( 20.08.2018 ) trade, Vadilal Industries stock tanks 20% due to miss-accounting on realisation of Revenue. As per reliable source, Cos has been taking in book Revenue on ex-factory basis.ASHISH KACHOLIA has sold some chunk of its stocks, while Porinjue has entered at lower levels.
As per our estimates, the Operating Profit Margin (OPM%) which is 24.28% in June 2018, is required downward revision to say ~ 6%.If we take the sun of last 4 quateres (including June 2018) as below:
Revenue: 541 Cr
OMP : 6%
Operating Profit: 32.46Cr
Interest cost : 15Cr
Tax @33% : 5.76Cr
Net Profit : 11.7Cr
Intrinsic Value ( Earning Power Value Method ) Per Share : Rs.207


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Friday, August 17, 2018

Performance of Stocks Picked by Us on 17 Aug 2018

Please visit the Excel Online sheet with Latest performance ( %) .You will be surprised to find that most them Hits Upper Circuit in the last trading session.
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Thursday, August 16, 2018

List of Stocks which will Perform Well in Short Term 17 Aug 2018

We are Presenting here a conclusive list of stocks, which are expected to Perform well in Short Term. Please Click at the Link :   https://pkamc-my.sharepoint.com/:x:/g/personal/niftynext_myoffice365_site/EfjUN7devllDgmwu3Y3CdwoBH64bGLFB-LOUQNnTfwdhZw?e=p29emX

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B.C. Power Controls Ltd ( 537766 ) - A MultiBagger, Buy/Sell/Hold, Growth Prospects and Recommendation, News and Results, Target Price and Analysis, Views and Outlook, Hot Stocks/Picks


B.C. Power Controls Ltd    closes   at ₹ 34.15   with  a  Fall     of    -1.40 %   on    16-Aug -2018   with formation of  a  small red     Candle    on Daily  Price Chart.   Technically,  B.C. Power Controls Ltd     is  consolidating phase  since Feb-2018 and finding its support at the lower levels.
 Valuations : B.C. Power Controls Ltd     is now Trading at 3.4 X of its EPV ( June 2018 earnings ). To get it at a Fair Value, It has to trade at 1x of its long term avg. of EPV, which comes at ~27.90 Net Cash / Share of 3..  Market Cap / Networth is 8.8 X. Roe is 4% & RoCE is 3%, while the  Growth is +57% YoY.
We may    BUY /    Accumulate  B.C. Power Controls Ltd    at  CMP ( ^ Better to accumulate at  25-28 in downtrend )
Target : ₹ 122 
Stop: Loss : ₹ Accmulations Basis
Time Frame: 48 Months
Financials :    https://www.screener.in/company/537766/
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Wednesday, August 15, 2018

Trade War between US, China & Indian laminate Industry

The ongoing ( Intensifying ) trade war between the United States and China, the United States administration has proposed 10 percent import duty on Chinese products including vinyl flooring,
laminates and furniture. Imposing such duty would benefit Indian exporters like  Greenlam Industries and Responsive Industries. In the latest spell of trade war, the United States administration announced that the US is weighing imposing tariffs on a further $200 billion on import of Chinese products.
The proposal is set to cover vinyl flooring, laminates and furniture.

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Wednesday, August 8, 2018

Orient Cement Ltd : Future Plans & Price Target $

Orient Cement Ltd is planning for CAPEX of Rs. 2000 Cr to raise its AP plant from 5Mt to 8Mt in next 2 years. It will lead to Future Cash Deficit of Rs. -2689 Cr ( Approx). Cos. is able to raise debt at sub 9%. When we tested on Fund rising by comparing Mfg. Expenses & Cash Held, it measures that it has to rasie DEBT.Capital Cycle has also see further  Deterioration on additional interest burden of Rs. 180Cr Per year.
The stock is yet to factor the above. It will be available at reasonable price after in when the Funding pattern will be finalised by the Cos.

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Monday, July 30, 2018

Rama Phosphates Ltd: Q1 FY 2018-19 Results Update & Valuations


Rama Phosphates Ltd is now Trading at a Good Valuations with Net Cash / Share of Rs. 2.6

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General Insurance Corporation of India : Q1 FY 2018-19 Results Update & Valuations


General Insurance Corporation of India is now Trading at a Good Valuations with Net Cash / Share of Rs. 179.00

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Saturday, July 28, 2018

Oscar Global Ltd ( 530173 ) - A MultiBagger, Buy/Sell/Hold, Growth Prospects and Recommendation, News and Results, Target Price and Analysis, Views and Outlook, Hot Stocks/Picks



Oscar Global Ltd is a manufacturing, supplying &  export of leather products ( leather garments, jackets, bags etc.)
More about the Co is here http://www.oscar-global.net/Index.aspx
Why We Zero at this Company: Oscar Global Ltd is continuously hitting Upper circuit at the browser since June 2018. On data mining, we find that Ace Investor Mr. Subramanian P is holding 2.02% & Mutual Fund is holdings 0.57% as per June 2018 Shareholding pattern.
Valuations  : Oscar Global Ltd  is now Trading at a 30% Discount to its Intrinsic Value at 7.22 with Net Cash / Share of ₹2.40. Revenue is increasing Trend.
This Stocks has find a place in our Watch List.
Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.
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