Thursday, April 30, 2020

Tech Mahindra Ltd – Valuation after Q4 FY 2020 Results


Tech Mahindra Ltd has posted full financial year 2019-20 and year-to-date 2020 , down 25.8 percent, 27.1 percent and 30.6 percent respectively. Of Rs.4033 Cr and Rs.803.9Cr

Valuations  : We have valued the company with its full financial year 2019-2020 earnings  ( PAT ), which is now X.08, a Huge discount of ~20% to its Value ( EPV Method )

Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.
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Data Source | NSE Website | Screener.In  | Capital Line | Money Control |
The author tracks economic, behavioural and corporate tends, hoping to gauge good avenues of return based on Fundamental Valuations of Stocks, a follower of EPV method. You can reach me/us at | Twitter # NiftyNext1 |  e-Mail : Mail@NiftyNext.Com  |  Tel +91 8802230836  |  Telegram # TheNiftyNext   |

Malabar India Fund Limited's Holdings


Contact at Whatsapp #  91 8802230836 for Valuations of Any Scrips( Data Source:www.screener.in )
Data Source NSE Website | Screener.In  | Capital Line Money Control |
The author tracks economic, behavioural and corporate tends, hoping to gauge good avenues of return based on Fundamental Valuations of Stocks, a follower of EPV method. You can reach me/us at | Twitter # NiftyNext1 |  e-Mail : Mail@NiftyNext.Com  |  Tel +91 8802230836  |  Telegram # TheNiftyNext   |

Reliance Industries : Q4 FY 2020 Earnings Update


Reliance Industries, the country's largest listed company by market capitalisation on April 30 reported a consolidated profit of Rs 6,348 crore during January-March quarter 2020. The consolidated profit in the previous quarter was Rs 11,640 crore and in the corresponding quarter last year, it was Rs 10,362 crore.
Revenue from operations for the March quarter stood at Rs 136,000 crore, against Rs 152,939 crore in December quarter and Rs 138,659 crore in the year-ago period.
Net profit of Reliance Jio was at Rs 2,331 crore and the revenue was Rs 14, 835 crore.
Earlier today, the company also said its entire board and senior leaders will take pay cuts ranging between 30 to 50 percent as a proactive measure to counter the cost pressures from the unprecedented challenges posed by the coronavirus outbreak. Chairman and Managing director Mukesh Ambani will forego his entire compensation for the year 2020-21.
Last week, Facebook Inc signed a binding agreement with Reliance Industries to invest Rs 43,574 crore into Jio Platforms. Its investment will translate into a 9.99 percent equity stake in Jio Platforms on a fully diluted basis, the company had said in its BSE filing on April 22.
Reliance Industries share price fell 26.4 percent in the quarter ended March 2020 and 5.8 percent year-to-date, but registered a massive 63 percent rally from March 23's low amid expectations of rising ARPU, growth in Reliance Jio and consistent progress in deleveraging balance sheet plan.
Source : MoneyControl

Wednesday, April 29, 2020

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd – flourishing amid Lockdown

You can reach the author at +91 880 2230 836 or e-Mail : mail@niftynext.com

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd  closes   at  198.60   with  a  Gain     of    +0.10 %   on    29-April-2020   with formation of  a  Green  Candle    on Daily  Price Chart.
Whats Positive  ?  The Company will be benefited due to rise in consumptions of GAS at household level. GSPL’s volume is expected to be 37.3 mmscmd, up 15.1% YoY owing to robust demand from City Gas Distribution  (CGD )companies .
Valuations  : We are expecting that company will  post Net Sales of Rs. 632.00 Cr in Q4 FY2020 a rise of +46% QoQ and +!% YoY. PAT will be Rs.227 Cr with a rise of +48% QoQ and +2.2% YoY.
Company is now Trading at X0.6  of its Value with a ~ 40% Discount. . If we consider the above earning for the full FY2020, its valuations will be X0.55, which makes it attractive with a Discount of ~45% to its present value.
Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.
Join Us at   Telegram #   https://t.me/TheNiftyNext
Data Source | NSE Website | Screener.In  | Capital Line | Money Control |
The author tracks economic, behavioural and corporate tends, hoping to gauge good avenues of return based on Fundamental Valuations of Stocks, a follower of EPV method. You can reach me/us at | Twitter # NiftyNext1 |  e-Mail : Mail@NiftyNext.Com  |  Tel +91 8802230836  |  Telegram # TheNiftyNext   |

Strides Pharma Science Ltd – Drug to treat Covid-19 ( Now Available at Discount )


Strides Pharma Science Ltd  closes   at  449.10  with  a  Gain     of    + 20 %   on    29-April-2020   with formation of  a  Green  Candle    on Daily  Price Chart.
Why to Consider it ?  The Company is to apply to Indian Drug Authorities to start necessary studies and make the drug available to patients in the country expeditiously for Covid-19.
Source : Media News
Valuations  : We are expecting that company will  post PAT of Rs. 262.10 Cr in FY2020  , Rs.345.6 Cr in FY 2021 & Rs. 434.80 Cr in FY 2022.
Company is now Trading at X1.3 of its Value. If we consider the above earning , it is Trading at X0.95 of its FY20 earnings ( Discount of ~5% ) & X0.72 of its FY21 earnings ( Discount of ~28% and X0.57 of its FY2020 ( Discount of ~47% )
Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.
Join Us at   Telegram #   https://t.me/TheNiftyNext
Data Source | NSE Website | Screener.In  | Capital Line | Money Control |
The author tracks economic, behavioural and corporate tends, hoping to gauge good avenues of return based on Fundamental Valuations of Stocks, a follower of EPV method. You can reach me/us at | Twitter # NiftyNext1 |  e-Mail : Mail@NiftyNext.Com  |  Tel +91 8802230836  |  Telegram # TheNiftyNext   |

Oberoi Realty Ltd – Will it emerge a Stronger Reality Player ?


Oberoi Realty Ltd  closes   at  327.85  with  a  Loss     of    -1.50%   on    28-April-2020   with formation of  a  SMALL RED Candle    on Daily  Price Chart.
“ Amid the nationwide lockdown, we anticipate sales volumes would have been impacted in Q4FY20E. Thus, we expect Oberoi' (ORL) sales volumes to de-grow 22.4% YoY to 1.12 lakh s q ft (lsf) in Q4FY20E. On the financial front, we expect topline to de-grow 41.8% YoY to | 333.3 crore on account of lower revenue recognition expected in Q4FY20E. Overall, we anticipate ORL net income will decline 48.0% YoY at | 81.0 crore in Q4FY20E.
Key Monitorable: : Progress on new launches such as Thane & Exquisite-III in Goregaon, progress on annuity portfolio, commentary on sales volumes expected ahead due to impact of lockdown .”  Quoted

Strength : The Company is  negotiating joint venture and joint development proposals with financial institutions which have invested in projects that are stuck due to financial mismanagement or have weaker brands that customers are weary of.
Valuations : We are expecting that company will  post PAT of Rs.81.00 Cr in Q4FY2020 with -48% decline on YoY and -45% decline on QoQ.
Oberoi Realty Ltd   Is now Trading at  X1.6 of its Value ( Last 4Quaters PAT is considered here )
Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.
Join Us at   Telegram #   https://t.me/TheNiftyNext
Data Source | NSE Website | Screener.In  | Capital Line | Money Control |
The author tracks economic, behavioural and corporate tends, hoping to gauge good avenues of return based on Fundamental Valuations of Stocks, a follower of EPV method. You can reach me/us at | Twitter # NiftyNext1 |  e-Mail : Mail@NiftyNext.Com  |  Tel +91 8802230836  |  Telegram # TheNiftyNext   |

Tuesday, April 28, 2020

Which Sector is now Risky?


High-risk sectors: Aviation, Ports, Seafoods. Gems & Jewellery, Microfinance Institutions, Shipping, Non-Ferrous Metals, Textiles (Cotton Spinning), Tourism, Hotels and Restaurants

Medium-risk sectors: Auto Ancillaries, Consumer Durables, Housing Finance Companies, Automobile OEMs, Logistics, Power, Electronics & Electricals, Private Sector Banks, Engineering, Mining, Public Sector Banks, Mutual Fund, Real Estate – Residential, Chemicals, Financial Institution, Healthcare, Pharmaceuticals.

Low-risk sectors: Agricultural Produce, Medical Products & Devices, Education, Seeds, Fertilizers, Sugar, FMCG, Telecom, Food & Food Products
Source : Media Report

Mahindra CIE Automotive Ltd – Q1 CY 2020 Results & Valuations


Mahindra CIE Automotive Ltd  is trading at  59.0  with  a  Gain     of    +5.0 %   on    28-April-2020   at the time of publishing this report.
The Company has posted has posted Sales of Rs.1662.71 cr and seen decline of  -25% YoY and -3.5% QoQ . The Net Profit is Rs.20.79 with  Decline of -86% yoY and  increase of ++49% QoQ.
Concern : 1. Forex loss of Rs 45.4 crore due to impact of a sharp depreciation in Peso on $26 million loan at Bill Forge Mexico.
Strength : 1. MF has increased investment to 6.75% from 6.52% and FII has increased  holdings from 14.04% to 14.85% in March 2020.
Valuations : We are expecting that company will  post a consolidated sales of Rs.7280 Cr in  CY2021 with Net Profit of Rs.410 Cr.
Cos. Is now Trading at  X1 of its Value and if we consider the Next Year earnings , it is  valued at  X0.47 , which almost ~53% discount to the present value.
Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.
Join Us at   Telegram #   https://t.me/TheNiftyNext
Data Source | NSE Website | Screener.In  | Capital Line | Money Control |
The author tracks economic, behavioural and corporate tends, hoping to gauge good avenues of return based on Fundamental Valuations of Stocks, a follower of EPV method. You can reach me/us at | Twitter # NiftyNext1 |  e-Mail : Mail@NiftyNext.Com  |  Tel +91 8802230836  |  Telegram # TheNiftyNext   |

Monday, April 27, 2020

HDFC Life Insurance Company Ltd. : Q4 FY2019-20 Results Analysis

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Data Source NSE Website | Screener.In  | Capital Line Money Control | 
The author tracks economic, behavioural and corporate tends, hoping to gauge good avenues of return based on Fundamental Valuations of Stocks, a follower of EPV method. You can reach me/us at | Twitter # NiftyNext1 |  e-Mail : Mail@NiftyNext.Com  |  Tel +91 8802230836  |  Telegram # TheNiftyNext   |

Sunday, April 26, 2020

L&T Finance Holdings Ltd – Current market Price is not Sustainable















L&T Finance Holdings Ltd at  59.0  with  a  Loss     of    -4.80 %   on    25-April-2020   with formation of  a  SMALL RED Candle    on Daily  Price Chart.
What’s Worrying Me :  1.Economy disruptions due to Corona. 2. Loan repayment moratorium 3. Delay in project of constructions 4. Labour Migrations, probably 70% of the labour force will not return to work 5.
Rising in Unemployment etc
It is expected the  company will  get generate  Net Interest Income ( NII ) of Rs. 6020.00 Cr in FY2020 , Rs. 5954.00 Cr in FY2021 & Rs. 6669.0 Cr in FT 2022  and will post a Net Profit of Rs.1957 Cr  in FY2020 , Rs. 2322 CR in FY 2021 and Rs.2803.00 Cr in FY 2022.
Valuation : L&T Finance Holdings Ltd  is now Trading at X 0.6  of its Value ( Earnings of last 4 Quarter is considered here ) If we factor the above Net Profit , the Company   is Trading at X0.37 of its Value to its FY2020 earnings basis ( at a discount of ~63%), and X0.31 to FY21 its earnings ( at a discount of ~69%) and X0.26 to its FY2022 earnings ( at a Discount of ~74%)
It is expected that Market force will move the price towards its lower value.
Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.
Join Us at   Telegram #   https://t.me/TheNiftyNext
Data Source | NSE Website | Screener.In  | Capital Line | Money Control | Geojit BNP Paribas|
The author tracks economic, behavioural and corporate tends, hoping to gauge good avenues of return based on Fundamental Valuations of Stocks, a follower of EPV method. You can reach me/us at | Twitter # NiftyNext1 |  e-Mail : Mail@NiftyNext.Com  |  Tel +91 8802230836  |  Telegram # TheNiftyNext   |

Petronet LNG Ltd – Trading at a Discount





Petronet LNG Ltd  closes   at  218.50  with  a  Loss     of    -2.10 %   on    25-April-2020   with formation of  a  SMALL RED Candle    on Daily  Price Chart.
Investment Rationale : Petronet LNG Ltd  is well-placed to benefit from rising gas demand supported by its recent capacity expansion to 17.5 mmt at the Dahej terminal and plans tofurther expand capacity to 19.5 mmt in the next 2-3 years by setting up two storage tanks and a jetty.
It is expected that company will  get generate  Revenue / Sales of Rs. 35721.95 Cr in FY2020 & Rs. 37436.28Cr in FY2021 & will post a Net Profit of Rs.2891.09 Cr  in FY2020 and Rs. 2989.60 CR in FY 2021.
Valuation : Petronet LNG Ltd  is now Trading at X 1.0 of its Value ( Earnings of last 4 Quarter is considered here )If we factor the above Net Profit , the Company   is Trading at X0.70 of its Value to its FY2020 earnings basis ( at a discount of ~30%), and X0.68 to FY21 its earnings ( at a discount of ~32%)
Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.
Join Us at   Telegram #   https://t.me/TheNiftyNext
Data Source | NSE Website | Screener.In  | Capital Line | Money Control | SMC Global |
The author tracks economic, behavioural and corporate tends, hoping to gauge good avenues of return based on Fundamental Valuations of Stocks, a follower of EPV method. You can reach me/us at | Twitter # NiftyNext1 |  e-Mail : Mail@NiftyNext.Com  |  Tel +91 8802230836  |  Telegram # TheNiftyNext   |

Saturday, April 25, 2020

Jubilant Foodworks Ltd – What are the Days ahead ??



Jubilant Foodworks Ltd  closes   at  1483.20   with  a  Loss     of    - 0.8 %   on    25-April-2020   with formation of  a  RED Candle    on Daily  Price Chart.
It is expected that Cos.  Will get generate Free Cash from Business ( Free Cash Flow ) of Rs.10.71 Cr in FY2020 and negative 0.94 Cr in FY2021, which will improve to Rs.17.88 Cr in FY2022. While is will post a Net Profit of Rs. 335.6 Cr  in FY20, Rs.267.00Cr in FY21 and Rs.457.3 CR in FY 2022.
If we factor the above Net Profit , Jubilant Foodworks Ltd  is Trading at X3.59 of its Value ( It is now Trading at X5.4 ) to its FY2020 earnings basis, X4.5 to FY21 and X2.63 of its FY2022 earnings.
Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.
Join Us at   Telegram #   https://t.me/TheNiftyNext
Data Source | NSE Website | Screener.In  | Capital Line | Money Control |
The author tracks economic, behavioural and corporate tends, hoping to gauge good avenues of return based on Fundamental Valuations of Stocks, a follower of EPV method. You can reach me/us at | Twitter # NiftyNext1 |  e-Mail : Mail@NiftyNext.Com  |  Tel +91 8802230836  |  Telegram # TheNiftyNext   |

Healthcare Global Enterprises Ltd (HCG ) – Will it get benefited from COVID 19


Healthcare Global Enterprises Ltd (HCG )   closes   at  70.20   with  a  Loss     of    - 1.90 %   on    25-April-2020   with formation of  a  RED Candle    on Daily  Price Chart.
Why On Focus: Healthcare Global Enterprises Ltd (HCG ) has received permission from Drug Controller General of India to study the effectiveness of Plasma therapy to improve the conditions of seriously ill  Covid-19 patients & it has started trails on 10 patients & expected to complete the investigations in next our weeks.
Valuations :  Healthcare Global Enterprises Ltd (HCG ) has posted a loss of Rs. 25 Cr in FY2019 and it will  widen to Rs.68.9Cr in FY20 and seen reductions in Losses to Rs.55.5Cr in FY21 & Rs.24.9Cr in FY22.
Since it’s a loss making company, we express our inability to Value the Healthcare Global Enterprises Ltd (HCG ), since our proprietary model values only Profit making Companies.
Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.
Join Us at   Telegram #   https://t.me/TheNiftyNext
Data Source | NSE Website | Screener.In  | Capital Line | Money Control |
The author tracks economic, behavioural and corporate tends, hoping to gauge good avenues of return based on Fundamental Valuations of Stocks, a follower of EPV method. You can reach me/us at | Twitter # NiftyNext1 |  e-Mail : Mail@NiftyNext.Com  |  Tel +91 8802230836  |  Telegram # TheNiftyNext   |


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