Sunday, May 21, 2017

India Glycols Ltd( INDIAGLYCO )-A Multi Bagger, Buy/Sell/Hold, Growth Prospects and Recommendation, News and Results, Target Price and Analysis, Views and Outlook, Hot Stocks/Picks, Financial Analysis & Valuations


INDIAGLYCO closes at 181.25   with  a  Fall       of   - 3.0 %   on    19  May 2017   with formation of  a  Red Candle    on Daily  Price Chart.  Technically ,   INDIAGLYCO has entering into a Long Term Bullish Trend. Major Momentum Indicators are   showing Strength on Daily Price Chart. Our NNI index has also turned Positive.
We Recommend  to  BUY /    Accumulate     INDIAGLYCO at   Lower Level.
Target: ₹  250
Stop Loss  : ₹  170
Time Frame  :  6-9   Months

Disclaimer : We are going to take exposure shortly.
You can reach the author at +91 880 2230 836 or e-Mail : mail@niftynext.com

NIIT Ltd ( NIITLTD)-A Multi Bagger, Buy/Sell/Hold, Growth Prospects and Recommendation, News and Results, Target Price and Analysis, Views and Outlook, Hot Stocks/Picks, Financial Analysis & Valuations


NIITLTD closes at 87.25  with  a  Fall       of   -0.1 %   on    19  May 2017   with formation of  a  Small Red Candle    on Daily  Price Chart.  Technically ,   NIITLTD has entering into a Long Term Bullish Trend. Major Momentum Indicators are   showing Strength on Daily Price Chart. Our NNI index has also turned Positive.
We Recommend  to  BUY /    Accumulate     NIITLTD at   CMP  
Target: ₹  107-150
Stop Loss  : ₹  78
Time Frame  :  6-24   Months
Disclaimer : We are going to take exposure shortly.


You can reach the author at +91 880 2230 836 or e-Mail : mail@niftynext.com

Tuesday, May 16, 2017

India Grid Trust IPO

About the issue
India Grid Trust is coming in the market with its IPO comprising of fresh issue of shares to raise around Rs2250 crore in the price band of Rs 98 – Rs 100 per share at the face value of Rs 10 per share. The minimum bid lot size is of 10,205 units which leads to minimum investment of Rs 10 Lacs. The issue will remain open from May 17, 2017 to May 19, 2017.
Purpose of the IPO
The company plans to utilise the issue proceeds for providing loan to BDTCL and JTCL for repayment or pre-payment of debt of banks, financial institutions, SGL1, SGL2 and towards repayment of any other long term and short term liabilities and capital expenditure creditors.
Company Background
India Grid Trust is an infrastructure investment trust established to own inter-state power transmission assets in India. It was established on October 21, 2016 by its sponsor, Sterlite Power Grid Ventures Limited, and is registered with SEBI pursuant to the InvIT Regulations. Its sponsor is one of the leading power transmission companies operating in the private sector, with extensive experience in bidding, designing, financing, constructing and maintaining power transmission projects across India.
Company‘s Sponsor owns 11 inter-state power transmission projects with a total network of 30 power transmission lines of approximately 7733 ckms and 9 substations having 13,890 MVA of transformation capacity. Some of these projects have been fully commissioned, while others are at different stages of development. Out of the 11 inter-state power transmission projects, the company will acquire 2 projects i.e. Bhopal Dhule Transmission Co and Jabalpur Transmission Co with a total network of eight power transmission lines of 1,936 ckms and two substations having 6,000 MVA capacity across four states.
The company intends to distribute at least 90% of their net cash available for distribution to their Unitholders once at least every six months in every financial year. The management believes that its financial position would enable to offer stable distributions to the Unitholders and finance their growth plans in the coming years.
Industry Outlook
India is the third largest consumer and producer of electricity in the world with a global share of 5.3% and 5% for electricity consumption and production, respectively, in fiscal 2015. In September, 2016 the total installed generation capacity in India was 306 GW and approximately 105 GW of capacity was added in the past four years. With urbanisation and industrialization, demand for power has increased, encouraging private sector participation in the sector. As the per capita electricity consumption closely follows the growth pattern of per capita GDP, it is expected that growth in power demand should continue. The power generation installed capacity is expected to increase to 435 GW in fiscal 2022 (8.2% CAGR) and the share of inter-regional transmission capacity is expected to increase to 20.9% in fiscal 2022 resulting in three times growth of investment in the power transmission sector.

Financial Performance
The above financials are based on combined basis. Revenue and EBITDA is increasing but the company is generating losses on account of higher finance costs and depreciation & amortization expenses.
Our View
India Grid Trust is a new entity and has a unique business model. The power transmission sector is still under high pricing pressure for corrective action and we see that the state boards would require 2-3 years to stabilize. Also, the minimum investment of Rs 10 Lacs for retail makes this IPO unattractive. We recommend our investors to avoid subscribing in the IPO.
Source : https://www.dsij.in/article-details/articleid/19940/india-grid-trust-ipo.aspx

Friday, May 12, 2017

Magma Fincorp Ltd ( MAGMA )-A Multi Bagger, Buy/Sell/Hold, Growth Prospects and Recommendation, News and Results, Target Price and Analysis, Views and Outlook, Hot Stocks/Picks, Financial Analysis & Valuations


MAGMA closes at 126.30   with  a  Fall       of   -1.30%   on   11 May  2017   with formation of  a  Red  candle     on Daily  Price Chart.  Technically,   MAGMA has entering into a Long Term Bullish Trend. Major Momentum Indicators are   showing Strength on Daily Price Chart. Our NNI index has also turned Positive.
We Recommend to  BUY /    Accumulate     MAGMA at   CMP  
Target: ₹  150-175
Stop: Loss  :₹  114
Time Frame :   6  Months
Financials https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17EdRs0Ssqy6H3RLE05z40hOJQ_Hzrk3J_aeCwBjX9P0/edit?usp=sharing
Join Us at   WhatsApp:  https://chat.whatsapp.com/KfzqmHAN9dp0Z8Bl9xtdVh
 You can reach the author at +91 880 2230 836 or e-Mail : mail@niftynext.com

Friday, May 5, 2017

Why Steel Stocks doesn't reacted to India's new steel policy 2017 ?

Here We go !  The price of Cocking Coal has increased sharply in the  month of April 2017 & there was huge disruption in exports from Australia a major exporter of coal, due to a cyclone which damaged railway lines connecting mines. This will affect the Bottom of Steel Cos and effect will be seen in Q2/2017-18. Off course, the New Steel Policy is good for Indian Steel Cos. It will be prudent to invest in Steel Sector after Q2/2017-18 results.
You can reach the author at +91 880 2230 836 or e-Mail : mail@niftynext.com

Sree Rayalaseema Alkalies & Allied Chemicals Ltd ( 507753)-A Multi Bagger, Buy/Sell/Hold, Growth Prospects and Recommendation, News and Results, Target Price and Analysis, Views and Outlook, Hot Stocks/Picks, Financial Analysis & Valuations


Sree Rayalaseema Alkalies & Allied Chemicals Ltd closes at 26.00  with  a  Gain      of   +  1.0 %   on    04  May 2017   with formation of  a  Bullish Harami  Cross Candle    on Daily  Price Chart.  Technically,   Sree Rayalaseema Alkalies & Allied Chemicals Ltd has entering into a Long Term Bullish Trend. Major Momentum Indicators are   showing Strength on Daily Price Chart. Our NNI index has also turned Positive.
We Recommend to  BUY /    Accumulate     Sree Rayalaseema Alkalies & Allied Chemicals Ltd at   CMP  
Target: ₹  60-72
Stop: Loss  :₹  23.80
Time Frame :  6-24   Months
Financials :  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1yNJtN5ZJTvfFjV7PUSGq4-12QMjUt-0g_FAaF_vTTGc/edit?usp=sharing

Disclaimer : We are going to take exposure shortly.
You can reach the author at +91 880 2230 836 or e-Mail : mail@niftynext.com

Thursday, May 4, 2017

Pattern Explorer : Release Version 5

We have just Upgrated to AmiBroker 6.22 & Pattern Explorer- Release V.
You can reach the author at +91 880 2230 836 or e-Mail : mail@niftynext.com

Sunday, April 30, 2017

AmiBroker 6.22.0 BETA

We have Migrated to AmiBroker 6.22 (Beta) Version.
You can reach the author at +91 880 2230 836 or e-Mail : mail@niftynext.com

Monday, April 24, 2017

S Chand & Company IPO analysis

About the issue
The company offer comprises of fresh issue of shares and offer for sale to raise around Rs 728.5 crore. The company is going to raise Rs 300 crore through fresh issue, while the balance amount will be raised through offer for sale of 60,23,236 equity shares of face value of Rs 5 per share. The issue will remain open from April 26, 2017 till April 28, 2017 with a price band of Rs 660-670 per share.
Purpose of the IPO
The company plans to utilise net proceeds from this offer for prepayments or repayments of own and its subsidiary EPHL, VPHPL and NSHPL debts. The company also proposes to use these funds for general corporate purposes.
Industry Outlook
India is one of the fastest growing economies in the world GDP growth of approximately 7.6% in FY16 and is expected to grow at 8% in FY17. India’s increasing GDP growth has aided the rise in income levels and spending power. As India’s per capita GDP levels and spending levels have increased, the share of spend in discretionary items has also increased from 53% in 2005 to 59.4% in 2016.
Growth in urbanization, increase in disposable incomes, growing literacy rate, increase in government spending on education are some of the major key drivers for the education sector to grow in India. The Right to Education Act (RTE Act), a policy initiative by the Government of India, emphasizes the need to implement various educational initiatives which would lead to increasing enrolment across all education segments in the coming years.
Company Outlook 
The company is one of the leading Indian education content company that delivers content, solutions and services across the education lifecycle through the K-12, higher education and early learning segments. It offers 53 consumer brands across knowledge products and services. In December 2016, the company has acquired 74% of the outstanding share capital of Chhaya Prakashani Pvt Ltd.
As of June 30, 2016, its distribution and sales network consisted of 4,907 distributors and dealers, and the in-house sales team consisted of 697 professionals working from 58 branches and marketing offices across India. Additional 746 distributors and dealers joined the network through Chhaya as of December 1, 2016. It has developed a robust supply chain by rationalizing and integrating its procurement, manufacturing and logistic capabilities. In FY16, its logistics network comprised of 42 warehouses located in 19 states across India. Also, its hybrid offering contributed 38.82% and purely digital offerings contributed 5.55% of their consolidated operating revenue from the K-12 segment.
Till FY16, K-12 contributed 72.49%, higher education segment contributed 11.28% and the early learning business segment contributed 3.21% of consolidated total revenue of the company. The company further plans to expand its leadership in the K-12 market. In order to increase the share of content by CBSE/ICSE schools, it is focusing to develop subject bestsellers and introduce new titles to fill portfolio gaps. The company is also planning to increase its presence in state board markets by acquiring leading regional content houses. Also, it is focusing on being comprehensive education content provider through digital media. To achieve this goal, it has started investing in early stage education companies and education related technology so that it can leverage both the strong content offering and sales and distribution network as these new technology driven offerings capture market share.
Financial Performance 
The company’s consolidated revenues grew at a CAGR of 32.64%, consolidated EBITDA grew at a CAGR of 47.47% and consolidated PAT grew at a CAGR of 33.48% over FY12-16. It delivered RoNW of 7.82%.


Peer Comparison & Valuation
S Chand & Company is valued at an upper price band of Rs 670 with P/E of 39.20x and EPS of Rs 17.09. The company has only one listed peer, i.e. Navneet Industries Limited which is valued at P/E of 25x with EPS of Rs 4.34 and delivered RoNW of 17.73%. Navneet’s consolidated revenue has grown at a CAGR 11.62% and PAT has grown at a CAGR 8.28%.
Our View
As we can see from the financials, the additional growth for the company is at the cost of margins. Margins have been eroding due to higher paper prices and also inability to pass on the cost of customers. Prices in paper industry are soaring up which is affecting EBITDA and PAT margins adversely. As compared to its peer, Navneet Industries, S Chand & Co is lacking in innovation of latest technology through digitization. As dependence on digital media is growing, S Chand & Co which has limited presence in digital space will see contained growth. Also, Navneet Industries has stationery segment as a growing market whereas S Chand & Co is lacking behind in this segment. The education sector currently is growing at a stable rate and competition is intense. In the long run, we expect the company may give returns of about ~10% to its investors which is not so promising. Looking at margins pressure, lower growth prospects and high valuation, we recommend our investors to avoid subscribing to this IPO.

Source : http://www.dsij.in/article-details/articleid/19578/s-chand-company-ipo-analysis.aspx#sthash.fPG1hfxs.dpuf

Sunday, April 23, 2017

Dynamatic Technologies Ltd ( DYNAMATECH )-A Multi Bagger, Buy/Sell/Hold, Growth Prospects and Recommendation, News and Results, Target Price and Analysis, Views and Outlook, Hot Stocks/Picks, Financial Analysis & Valuations


DYNAMATECH closes at 2792.15  with  a  Gain      of   +  0.40 %   on    21 April 2017   with formation of  a  Green Tick    on Daily  Price Chart.  Technically,   DYNAMATECH has entering into a Long Term Bullish Trend. Major Momentum Indicators are   showing Strength on Daily Price Chart. Our NNI index has also turned Positive.
We Recommend to  BUY /    Accumulate     DYNAMATECH at   CMP  
Target: ₹  3500-6000
Stop: Loss  :₹  2630
Time Frame :  3-24  Months

Disclaimer : We are going to take exposure shortly.
You can reach the author at +91 880 2230 836 or e-Mail : mail@niftynext.com

Disclaimer

The recommendations made herein do not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any of the securities mentioned. No representations can be made that the recommendations contained herein will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. Readers using the information contained herein are solely responsible for their actions. Information is obtained from sources deemed to be reliable but is not guaranteed as to accuracy and completeness. The above recommendations are based on the theory of Technical Analysis and do not reflect the fundamental validity of the Scrip. www.niftynext..com does 't take any Responsibility for any losses arising from using the Stocks Recommendations.
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