Wednesday, April 29, 2020

Oberoi Realty Ltd – Will it emerge a Stronger Reality Player ?


Oberoi Realty Ltd  closes   at  327.85  with  a  Loss     of    -1.50%   on    28-April-2020   with formation of  a  SMALL RED Candle    on Daily  Price Chart.
“ Amid the nationwide lockdown, we anticipate sales volumes would have been impacted in Q4FY20E. Thus, we expect Oberoi' (ORL) sales volumes to de-grow 22.4% YoY to 1.12 lakh s q ft (lsf) in Q4FY20E. On the financial front, we expect topline to de-grow 41.8% YoY to | 333.3 crore on account of lower revenue recognition expected in Q4FY20E. Overall, we anticipate ORL net income will decline 48.0% YoY at | 81.0 crore in Q4FY20E.
Key Monitorable: : Progress on new launches such as Thane & Exquisite-III in Goregaon, progress on annuity portfolio, commentary on sales volumes expected ahead due to impact of lockdown .”  Quoted

Strength : The Company is  negotiating joint venture and joint development proposals with financial institutions which have invested in projects that are stuck due to financial mismanagement or have weaker brands that customers are weary of.
Valuations : We are expecting that company will  post PAT of Rs.81.00 Cr in Q4FY2020 with -48% decline on YoY and -45% decline on QoQ.
Oberoi Realty Ltd   Is now Trading at  X1.6 of its Value ( Last 4Quaters PAT is considered here )
Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.
Join Us at   Telegram #   https://t.me/TheNiftyNext
Data Source | NSE Website | Screener.In  | Capital Line | Money Control |
The author tracks economic, behavioural and corporate tends, hoping to gauge good avenues of return based on Fundamental Valuations of Stocks, a follower of EPV method. You can reach me/us at | Twitter # NiftyNext1 |  e-Mail : Mail@NiftyNext.Com  |  Tel +91 8802230836  |  Telegram # TheNiftyNext   |

Tuesday, April 28, 2020

Which Sector is now Risky?


High-risk sectors: Aviation, Ports, Seafoods. Gems & Jewellery, Microfinance Institutions, Shipping, Non-Ferrous Metals, Textiles (Cotton Spinning), Tourism, Hotels and Restaurants

Medium-risk sectors: Auto Ancillaries, Consumer Durables, Housing Finance Companies, Automobile OEMs, Logistics, Power, Electronics & Electricals, Private Sector Banks, Engineering, Mining, Public Sector Banks, Mutual Fund, Real Estate – Residential, Chemicals, Financial Institution, Healthcare, Pharmaceuticals.

Low-risk sectors: Agricultural Produce, Medical Products & Devices, Education, Seeds, Fertilizers, Sugar, FMCG, Telecom, Food & Food Products
Source : Media Report

Mahindra CIE Automotive Ltd – Q1 CY 2020 Results & Valuations


Mahindra CIE Automotive Ltd  is trading at  59.0  with  a  Gain     of    +5.0 %   on    28-April-2020   at the time of publishing this report.
The Company has posted has posted Sales of Rs.1662.71 cr and seen decline of  -25% YoY and -3.5% QoQ . The Net Profit is Rs.20.79 with  Decline of -86% yoY and  increase of ++49% QoQ.
Concern : 1. Forex loss of Rs 45.4 crore due to impact of a sharp depreciation in Peso on $26 million loan at Bill Forge Mexico.
Strength : 1. MF has increased investment to 6.75% from 6.52% and FII has increased  holdings from 14.04% to 14.85% in March 2020.
Valuations : We are expecting that company will  post a consolidated sales of Rs.7280 Cr in  CY2021 with Net Profit of Rs.410 Cr.
Cos. Is now Trading at  X1 of its Value and if we consider the Next Year earnings , it is  valued at  X0.47 , which almost ~53% discount to the present value.
Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.
Join Us at   Telegram #   https://t.me/TheNiftyNext
Data Source | NSE Website | Screener.In  | Capital Line | Money Control |
The author tracks economic, behavioural and corporate tends, hoping to gauge good avenues of return based on Fundamental Valuations of Stocks, a follower of EPV method. You can reach me/us at | Twitter # NiftyNext1 |  e-Mail : Mail@NiftyNext.Com  |  Tel +91 8802230836  |  Telegram # TheNiftyNext   |

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