Sunday, September 12, 2021

Surya Roshni Ltd ( 500336 ) – Demerging for a Growth

Surya Roshni Ltd ( 500336 )  closes   at 552.55 with  a  Gail   of   +6.0%   on    on    09-September-2021  with formation of  a  Long Green Candle    on Daily  Price Chart.

About the Company :  Surya is the second largest manufacturer of steel pipes (contributes 67% to EBITDA) and also the second largest LED manufacturer in India.

Sector Update :  Positive

Financials : Surya Roshni Ltd  has posted Net Sales / Revenue   of 5554.40Cr & Net Profit 156.50Cr in FY2021 and expected to post Net Sales / Revenue   of 6220.90Cr & Net Profit of 258.80Cr in FY2022 & Net Sales / Revenue   of 6967.40Cr & Net Profit of 342.40 Cr in FY2023  .

ROE will improved from 12% in FY2021 to 19.60% by FY2023. ROCE  will increase from 12.30% to 20.8 %during the same period.

Valuations  : The Company is now Trading at X1.20 of its  valuations of  FY2021 earnings with ~20% Premium and X0.72 of its FY2022 earnings with ~28% Discount and  X0.54 of its FY2023 earnings with ~46%  Discount .

Margin of Safety (1Yr Bond Yield: Value>1 ) is now  1.3   which  makes is attractive . The  Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method ) is  552.30

Early Trend: Demerger of its pipes and lighting segment could unlock significant value.

If We factor its FY2023 earnings/valuations, its Price arrives at 1221.60

Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.

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The author tracks economic, behavioural and corporate tends, hoping to gauge good avenues of return based on Fundamental Valuations of Stocks, a follower of EPV method. You can reach me/us at | Twitter # NiftyNext1 |  e-Mail : Mail@NiftyNext.Com  |  Tel +91 8802230836  |  Telegram # TheNiftyNext   |

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Mahanagar Gas Ltd ( 539957 ) – Rising piped cooking gas prices

Mahanagar Gas Ltd ( 539957 )closes   at 1168.60 with  a  Fall   of   -0.70%   on    on    09-September-2021  with formation of  a  Small Red Candle    on Daily  Price Chart.

About the Company : Mahanagar Gas Ltd is in the business of City Gas Distribution (CGD), presently supplying Natural Gas in the city of Mumbai including its adjoining areas and the Raigad district, in the State of Maharashtra, India.

Sector Update :  Positive

Financials : Mahanagar Gas Ltd has posted Net Sales / Revenue   of 2152.30 Cr & Net Profit 619.60 Cr in FY2021 and expected to post Net Sales / Revenue   of 2989.20 Cr & Net Profit of 847.20Cr in FY2022 & Net Sales / Revenue   of 3500.90Cr & Net Profit of 924.20Cr in FY2023  and  Net Sales / Revenue   of 3803.20 Cr & Net Profit of 935.90 Cr in FY2024 .

EPS will improved from 62.70 in FY2021 to 94.70 by FY2024. Net Cash Position will increase from ₹511.90Cr to ₹1801.40Cr; Bool Value per Share from ₹327 to ₹479 and Cash Flow per Share from ₹96.40 to ₹152 during the same period.

Valuations  : The Company is now Trading at X1.20 of its  valuations of  FY2021 earnings with ~20% Premium and X0.8 of its FY2022 earnings with ~16% Discount and  X0.77 of its FY2023 earnings with ~23%  Discount and X0.76 of its FY2024 earnings with ~24%  Discount.

Margin of Safety (1Yr Bond Yield: Value>1 ) is now  1.3   which  makes is attractive . The  Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method ) is  1117.00

Early Trend: Piped cooking gas prices may rise 10-11% in October 2021

If We factor its FY2023 earnings/valuations, its Price arrives at 1916.

Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.

Join Us at   Telegram #   https://t.me/TheNiftyNext

Data Source NSE Website | Screener.In  | Capital Line Money Control |Refinitiv |

The author tracks economic, behavioural and corporate tends, hoping to gauge good avenues of return based on Fundamental Valuations of Stocks, a follower of EPV method. You can reach me/us at | Twitter # NiftyNext1 |  e-Mail : Mail@NiftyNext.Com  |  Tel +91 8802230836  |  Telegram # TheNiftyNext   |

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Saturday, September 11, 2021

Arvind SmartSpaces Ltd (539301) – Free Cash Flow Improves

Arvind SmartSpaces Ltd  (539301)  closes   at ₹147.05  with  a  Fall  of   -2.30%   on    on    09-September-2021  with formation of  a  Red Candle    on Daily  Price Chart.

About the Company : Arvind SmartSpaces is engaged in the development of real estate comprising of residential, commercial and industrial projects.

Sector Update :  Positive

Financials : Arvind SmartSpaces Ltd  has posted Net Sales / Revenue   of ₹149.00 Cr & Net Profit of   ₹9.00 Cr in FY2021 and expected to post Net Sales / Revenue   of ₹166.00Cr & Net Profit of ₹16.00 Cr in FY2022 .

Net Debt has reduced to ₹152.20Cr in Fy2021 from ₹211.00Cr in Fy2020 & Cash Flow Per Share has improved from ₹1.54 to ₹9.85 during the same period.

Valuations  : The Company is now Trading at X 2.4  of its  valuations of  FY2021 earnings with ~140% Premium and X2.02 of its FY2022 earnings with ~102% Premium.

Early Trend : HDFC Capital Affordable Real Estate Fund-1 (H-CARE 1) will invest Rs 85 crore.

Margin of Safety (1Yr Bond Yield: Value>1 ) is now  0.70   which  makes is attractive after ~30% dip in price. The  Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method ) is  137.20.

If We factor its FY2022 earnings/valuations, its Price arrives at ₹174.80.

Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.

Join Us at   Telegram #   https://t.me/TheNiftyNext

Data Source NSE Website | Screener.In  | Capital Line Money Control |Refinitiv |

The author tracks economic, behavioural and corporate tends, hoping to gauge good avenues of return based on Fundamental Valuations of Stocks, a follower of EPV method. You can reach me/us at | Twitter # NiftyNext1 |  e-Mail : Mail@NiftyNext.Com  |  Tel +91 8802230836  |  Telegram # TheNiftyNext   |

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