Saturday, September 18, 2021

Phoenix Mills Ltd ( 532782 ) – Doubling Portfolio

Phoenix Mills Ltd ( 532782 ) closes   at 850.30 with  a  Fall of   -1.70%   on    on    17-September-2021  with formation of  a  Red Candle    on Daily  Price Chart.

About the Company :  The Phoenix Mills Limited is an India-based company engaged in the construction of buildings carried out on own-account basis or on a fee or contract basis. The Company is engaged in the development and operation of malls and other real estate properties. It operates through twos segments: Property & Related Services, and Hospitality Services. It specializes in the ownership, management and development of retail-led mixed use properties that include shopping, entertainment, commercial, residential and hospitality assets, aggregating approximately 17.5 million square feet over 100 acres. Its core business includes Retail, Hospitality, Commercial and Residential. Under the Retail segment, it operates seven malls in six cities. Under Commercial and Hospitality segments, it operates five commercial centers in two cities and two completed hotel projects. The upscale mall houses various international brands, such as Gucci, Jimmy Choo, Bottega Veneta and Ermenegildo Zegna, among others.

Sector Update :  Positive

Financials : Phoenix Mills Ltd has posted Net Sales / Revenue   of 1073.30 Cr & Net Profit 52.60 Cr in FY2021 and expected to post Net Sales / Revenue   of 1505.80 Cr & Net Profit of 175.30 Cr in FY2022 & Net Sales / Revenue   of 2202.20 Cr & Net Profit of 466.20  Cr in FY2023 and  Net Sales / Revenue   of 2734.00 Cr & Net Profit of 631.10  Cr in FY2024  .

EPS will improved from 3.19 in FY2021 to 38.60 by FY2024; Debt from 3139.80 Cr to 3393.10 Cr . Free Cash Flow will Turn positive from - 307.60 Cr to 295.50 Cr; ROA  will increase from 0.48% to 2.59 (FY23) and Book Value Per Share will increase from 284 to 366 %during the same period.

Valuations  : The Company is now Trading at X9.50 of its  valuations of  FY2021 earnings with ~850% Premium and X5.15 of its FY2022 earnings with ~415% Premium and  X1.94 of its FY2023 earnings with ~94%  Premium  and X1.43 of its FY2024 earnings with ~43%  Premium .

Margin of Safety (1Yr Bond Yield: Value>1 ) is now  0.2 which  makes it attractive after ~80% dip in price . The  Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method ) is  821.00

Early Trend: Phoenix Mills is looking to double its portfolio of retail properties by FY26 & it wants to add one million square feet each year post FY26.

If We factor its FY2024 earnings/valuations, its Price arrives at 1785.00 with a conservative view of X3 pricing.

Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.

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